Why CCUS matters in UAE specifically

UAE has three structural reasons CCUS is not optional:

  1. Hydrocarbon-based GDP (~30% from oil/gas, ADNOC produces ~3.0 Mb/d crude, targeting 5.0 Mb/d by 2027). Decarbonising production is essential to maintain market access in low-carbon-import regimes (EU CBAM, etc.).
  2. Geology is favourable β€” depleted carbonate reservoirs in the Lower Cretaceous (Thamama, Kharaib, Shuaiba) have high porosity (15–25%) and proven seal integrity; saline aquifers in the Arab Formation offer ~450 Gt theoretical storage.
  3. EOR economics β€” CO2-EOR can recover an additional 5–15% OOIP from mature fields. ADNOC's Bab and Rumaitha fields are textbook candidates.

Al Reyadah β€” first commercial-scale CCS in MENA

Operational since
Nov 2016
First in MENA
Capture capacity
800 kt COβ‚‚/yr
Actual avg ~700 kt
Cars equivalent
~170k
Off the road

How it works

  • Source: Emirates Steel Industries (ESI), Mussafah, Abu Dhabi β€” first iron-and-steel sector capture project globally
  • Capture method: Amine absorption (MEA β€” monoethanolamine) from Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) flue gas
  • Compression: ~200 bar
  • Transport: 50 km dedicated CO2 pipeline
  • Use: EOR at Bab and Rumaitha onshore fields β€” CO2-WAG (CO2-Water Alternating Gas)
  • Operator: Al Reyadah (originally 51% Masdar / 49% ADNOC; fully consolidated under ADNOC 2017)

ADNOC's CCUS scale-up plan

  • Target 10 Mt COβ‚‚/yr captured/abated by 2030 (announced 2022, reiterated COP28)
  • Updated COP28 commitment: $23 bn green capex through 2030
  • 2045 net-zero target for ADNOC operational emissions (Scope 1+2)

Project pipeline

ProjectCapacitySourceStatus / COD
Habshan CCS1.5 Mt COβ‚‚/yrADNOC Gas Habshan complex (gas processing CO2 stripped from sour gas)Announced Nov 2023; FEED awarded; COD 2026
Hail and Ghasha sour gas1.5+ Mt COβ‚‚/yr (capture + EOR/storage)World's largest concurrent gas+CCS development; sour gas (~15% H2S, ~10% CO2)FID 2023; first gas late 2025/2026; CCS scale-up to 2030
Shah Sour Gas Phase 2~0.5 Mt/yrHigh-CO2 sour gasIn planning
Dalma Gas ProjectTBDSour offshore gasFID 2024
Ruwais LNG CCSTBD9.6 mtpa LNG facilityFID Jun 2024; aims for industry-low intensity using nuclear power + CCS

Habshan CCS

The biggest CCS project in MENA pipeline. ADNOC Gas processes sour gas at Habshan; CO2 is already separated as part of acid-gas removal for sweetening. This makes it the cheapest CCS in the world β€” capture cost <$25/tCO2 β€” because the CO2 is already concentrated and pressurised.

Hail & Ghasha

Sour gas mega-project, world's largest concurrent gas + CCS development. Sour gas with ~15% H2S, ~10% CO2. FID 2023. First gas late 2025/2026. CCS scale-up to 2030. The CCS scope is integrated from day one β€” not retrofit.

Capture technologies β€” what to know

Post-combustion (amine absorption β€” MEA, MDEA, KS-1)

Used at: Al Reyadah (MEA)

How: Dominant for retrofits. Amine solvent absorbs CO2 from flue gas, then heats to release CO2 for compression.

Capture rate: 85–95%

Energy penalty: ~3.5–4.5 GJ/tCO2 (heat) β†’ costs $40–80/tCO2 captured at industrial scale.

Pre-combustion / shift conversion

Used in: Blue H2 (ammonia, methanol)

How: Capture CO2 from concentrated stream after Water-Gas Shift reactor; high CO2 partial pressure makes separation easier.

Cost: $25–40/tCO2 β€” much cheaper than post-combustion.

Examples: Fertiglobe + Habshan effectively use this.

Industrial gas processing CCS

Used at: Habshan, Hail/Ghasha

How: CO2 is already separated for sweetening (acid gas removal); just capture and inject.

Cost: <$25/tCO2 β€” cheapest CCS in the world.

Direct Air Capture (DAC)

Players: Carbon Engineering (KOH-Ca looping), Climeworks (solid sorbent), 1PointFive (Occidental)

Cost today: ~$400–600/tCO2

UAE potential: Gas-cheap energy makes liquid DAC plausible at $200–300/t with scale. ADNOC + Carbon Engineering MoU 2022 for 1 Mt DAC scoping.

Mineralisation

Player: 44.01 (Omani-UAE startup) β€” injecting CO2 into peridotite in the Hajar mountains (Fujairah/Oman border).

How: Permanent storage as MgCO3, no monitoring liability.

Funding: $37M Series A May 2024 led by Equinor Ventures.

Oxy-fuel combustion

Status: Not deployed at scale in UAE; conceptual for future cement/power.

How: Burn fuel in pure oxygen β†’ flue gas is mostly CO2 + H2O, easy to separate.

Storage in UAE

  • EOR (CO2-WAG) β€” primary current sink. ADNOC reports ~10 Mt cumulative CO2 stored via EOR through 2024.
  • Saline aquifers β€” Arab Formation (Jurassic) offers >450 Gt theoretical capacity per ADNOC/Schlumberger storage atlases.
  • Depleted gas reservoirs β€” Bab North-East (NEB) and Rumaitha receive Al Reyadah's CO2.
  • Mineralisation (44.01) β€” niche but permanent.

Cost stack ($/tCO2) β€” illustrative UAE benchmarks

StageLow (industrial concentrated)High (dilute flue)
Capture$15–25 (gas processing, ammonia)$50–90 (steel, cement, power)
Compression$5–10$5–15
Transport (50–150 km pipeline)$3–8$8–15
Storage / EOR injection$5–15 (with EOR credit, can be net negative)$10–25
Total levelised$30–55/tCO2$70–130/tCO2
πŸ’°
Why UAE CCS economics work today

EU ETS settled ~€70–80/tCO2 in 2024; CBAM phase-in from 2026. UAE's industrial CCS at $30–55/t is economic against any meaningful carbon price. That's why ADNOC is scaling rather than piloting.

Hydrogen Economy in the UAE

National Hydrogen Strategy 2050 (announced Nov 2023, MoEI)

By 2031
1.4 Mt/yr
Low-carbon Hβ‚‚ production
By 2040
~7.5 Mt/yr
Scaling phase
By 2050
15 Mt/yr
Top-10 global producer

Investment: AED 200+ bn estimated. Targets: 2 hydrogen oases by 2031, 5 by 2050.

Colour codes β€” UAE context

ColourSourceUAE relevance
GreySMR natural gas, no captureBaseline (most ammonia/methanol pre-2020)
BlueSMR/ATR + CCSUAE's near-term scale lever β€” Fertiglobe, Ta'ZIZ, ADNOC
GreenElectrolysis from renewablesMasdar pilots; Khalifa Port; MBR Solar Park electrolyser
Pink/PurpleElectrolysis from nuclearFuture Barakah-coupled electrolysis (ENEC studies underway)
TurquoiseMethane pyrolysisPilot phase globally

Flagship hydrogen projects

  • Masdar Khalifa Port green H2-to-methanol pilot (with Lufthansa, BP, Etihad): 2 MW electrolyser feeding methanol synthesis; SAF demonstration with Etihad in 2023.
  • MBR Solar Park green H2 plant β€” DEWA + Siemens Energy, 1.25 MW electrolyser, COD 2021; first solar-driven H2 in MENA.
  • Fertiglobe blue ammonia (Ruwais): expanded to ~1 Mtpa low-carbon ammonia post-Ta'ZIZ; first commercial cargoes to ITOCHU Japan in 2021.
  • Ta'ZIZ Industrial Chemical Zone (Ruwais) β€” JV ADNOC + ADQ, $5 bn first phase. 1.0 Mtpa blue ammonia (TA'ZIZ + Fertiglobe + Mitsui + GS Energy, FID May 2024), low-carbon methanol, EDC, sulfur derivatives. CCS-integrated.
  • ADNOC + Mubadala + ADQ Hydrogen Alliance (Jan 2021) β€” coordinates blue/green H2 export strategy.
  • Korea + Japan offtake MoUs: ADNOC + KOGAS, ADNOC + JERA, Mubadala + Mitsui, Masdar + Marubeni β€” collectively ~10 Mt/yr ammonia LOIs through 2030.

Cost benchmarks

  • Blue ammonia from UAE Ruwais: $350–450/t NH3 delivered Japan/Korea (vs grey $250–320/t in 2024)
  • Green H2 from MBR Solar Park electrolysis: today ~$4.5–6.0/kg; target $1.5/kg by 2031 with PV at 1.3 c/kWh and electrolyser capex <$300/kW
  • Pink (Barakah) H2: ENEC studies suggest ~$2.5/kg given 95% capacity factor and $25/MWh nuclear LCOE

Practice Q&A

Q1 Explain the CCS chain at ADNOC's Al Reyadah. β–Ό

"Al Reyadah was the first commercial-scale CCS plant in MENA, operational since November 2016. CO2 is captured from Emirates Steel's DRI flue gas using monoethanolamine β€” MEA β€” based amine absorption, achieving roughly 90% capture efficiency at 0.8 Mt CO2/yr nameplate.

The CO2 is dried, compressed to ~200 bar, and transported through a 50 km dedicated pipeline to ADNOC's Bab and Rumaitha onshore fields, where it's used in CO2-WAG enhanced oil recovery β€” water and CO2 alternated to maintain reservoir sweep efficiency and recover an additional 5–15% of original oil in place.

The economics work because (a) ESI bears no capture cost premium since the plant is on a shared CO2 service model, (b) ADNOC effectively earns negative net cost per tonne after the EOR uplift. ADNOC plans to scale this concept tenfold to 10 Mt CO2/yr by 2030, with Habshan adding 1.5 Mt/yr from gas processing in 2026 and Hail & Ghasha contributing another 1.5+ Mt/yr from sour gas separation."

Q2 What are the main carbon capture technologies and which fit UAE assets? β–Ό

"Four families. Post-combustion amine β€” used at Al Reyadah β€” is the universal retrofit option but has the highest energy penalty, around 3.5–4.5 GJ per tonne of CO2 captured.

Pre-combustion or shift-conversion capture from blue hydrogen / ammonia plants is much cheaper because the CO2 stream is concentrated at high partial pressure β€” that's what Fertiglobe at Ruwais effectively uses, and it's why blue ammonia is competitive at $350–450/t delivered to Asia.

Industrial gas-processing CCS β€” what Habshan and Hail & Ghasha will use β€” is the cheapest of all, well below $25/tCO2, because the CO2 is already separated as part of acid-gas removal for sour gas sweetening.

Oxy-fuel and chemical looping aren't yet at scale here. Then DAC: 44.01's mineralisation in Hajar peridotite is permanent storage as magnesium carbonate, which removes long-term monitoring liability. And we should expect Carbon Engineering / 1PointFive-style liquid DAC scoping with ADNOC to advance once the cost curve breaks below $300/tCO2."

Q3 How does UAE position itself in the global hydrogen market? β–Ό

"The 2023 National Hydrogen Strategy targets 1.4 Mt/yr by 2031 and 15 Mt/yr by 2050 β€” top-10 producer status. The wedge in the near term is blue: SMR or ATR with CCS, leveraging cheap gas and the existing CO2 transport-and-storage infrastructure ADNOC has built around Al Reyadah and now Habshan. Fertiglobe has already shipped commercial blue ammonia cargoes to ITOCHU in Japan since 2021.

Green is the longer-term play β€” Masdar's 2 MW pilot at Khalifa Port and DEWA's 1.25 MW Siemens Energy plant at MBR Solar Park are demonstration scale today, but with PV at 1.3 cents/kWh from Khazna and electrolyser capex falling, green H2 could hit $1.5/kg by 2031.

Pink β€” nuclear-powered electrolysis from Barakah β€” is potentially the cheapest dispatchable low-carbon H2, around $2.5/kg given 95% capacity factor on $25/MWh nuclear LCOE; ENEC is studying it.

Realistically the UAE plays blue first, with green and pink scaling through the 2030s, all anchored by long-term offtake MoUs with Japan, Korea and increasingly the EU."

Q4 What's your view on the credibility of blue ammonia as a decarbonisation play? β–Ό

"Blue ammonia is the most commercially scalable low-carbon energy carrier UAE can deliver to Northeast Asia in the next decade. The numbers stack up: SMR of cheap UAE gas at ~$3/MMBtu plus CCS at <$25/tCO2 plus existing Haber-Bosch infrastructure at Ruwais yields blue NH3 at $350–450/t delivered Japan, versus grey NH3 at $250–320/t. With Japan and Korea targeting 20–30% co-firing of ammonia in coal plants by 2030 and shipping mandates favouring ammonia bunkering post-2027, there is a real $20–40/t green premium that supports the economics.

Risks: (1) lifecycle methane leakage from upstream gas can erode the 90%+ claimed CO2 reduction if not measured rigorously β€” that's why UAE joined the Oil & Gas Decarbonization Charter at COP28; (2) green H2 cost curves may undercut blue by mid-2030s, creating stranded-asset risk on long-term contracts; (3) Asian buyer policy may shift if EU-style strict additionality rules apply.

The mitigation is staged contracts with rolling pricing reviews and dual blue-then-green optionality, which is what Fertiglobe + ADNOC are structuring."

🎯
Memorise these numbers cold

Al Reyadah 0.8 Mt/yr Β· ADNOC CCUS target 10 Mt/yr by 2030 Β· Habshan 1.5 Mt/yr COD 2026 Β· Hail & Ghasha 1.5+ Mt/yr Β· Hydrogen 1.4 Mt/yr by 2031, 15 Mt/yr by 2050 Β· Blue ammonia $350–450/t Japan delivered Β· Industrial CCS $30–55/tCO2 levelised.